Situation update for system EIGHTEEN as of 29/01/26 PM
The cyclone basin is currently marked by the presence of EIGHTEEN, a moderate intensity system located about 720 km from Maré.
📍 Location and Movement
At the last update, the system center was at -26.9° latitude and 171.9° longitude. It is currently moving in the SW direction at a speed of 16 km/h.
💨 Intensity and Winds
1-minute sustained winds are estimated at 65 km/h, with gusts up to 90 km/h. The minimum central pressure is 997 hPa, classifying the system as Tropical Depression.
🌊 Environmental Context
Analysis of atmospheric and oceanic conditions shows a sea surface temperature of 25.7°C. Wind shear is currently assessed as fort. Upper-level divergence is considered forte. Relative humidity at 700 hPa is 87.5%.
Estimates for the next 24h: 🔴 Conditions appear UNFAVORABLE. Several parameters are unfavorable, making maintenance or strengthening unlikely. However, there is always some uncertainty and surprises are never excluded.
Important Note
Track and intensity forecasts are subject to uncertainty. It is recommended to regularly follow official bulletins and pay attention to local authority instructions, especially if you live near the system's area of influence.